Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234055           4          44          39          12           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000961018           2          31          51          14           2        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   6.24673e-07           1           0          65          31           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            58           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             2.25       23.25       55.25       17.50        1.75     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1