Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232987           3          47          38          12           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000946088           1          35          52          12           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   4.87715e-07           2           1          65          31           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.50       27.75       53.75       15.50        0.50     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8