Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232421           5          40          46           9           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000940658           1          37          51          11           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   4.42450e-07           1           2          83          13           1        C3.6
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.00       28.75       57.50       10.00        0.75     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C5.7