Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232071           7          42          45           6           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000933537           3          41          47           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.95215e-07           1           3          76          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =            43           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.75       30.25       55.50        9.75        0.75     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0