Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232194           6          43          46           5           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000935491           4          41          47           8           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   4.17374e-07           1           2          80          15           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             3.50       27.50       58.75        9.25        1.00     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5