Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232222           6          42          46           6           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000939428           1          40          48          11           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   4.04508e-07           1           2          78          18           1        C3.0
est. ISN   =            34           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             3.50       33.00       51.75       11.50        0.25     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4