Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231134           9          39          41          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000913536           8          51          35           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   3.31979e-07           4           8          74          14           0        C2.2
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             6.75       35.50       48.25        9.25        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0