Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231168           9          39          41          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000914073           8          49          36           7           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   3.42668e-07           3           6          74          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             5.50       27.25       55.00       12.00        0.25     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3