Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230499          10          41          38          11           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000902891           5          49          37           9           0        B9.2
GOES Xray  =   2.86404e-07           2          24          67           7           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =            57           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             4.75       33.50       51.00       10.50        0.25     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1