Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229778          12          40          39           9           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000888376           5          45          41           9           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   2.02637e-07           2          45          48           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             5.00       36.75       47.75       10.25        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3