Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229401          12          41          39           8           0        B7.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000886810           6          43          41          10           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   1.50558e-07          10          61          27           2           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             9.00       49.75       35.25        6.00        0.00     B7.3
 
realized                                                                                      B4.6