Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229190          13          39          41           7           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000881420           6          43          45           6           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   1.38385e-07           7          64          28           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             8.50       50.00       37.00        4.50        0.00     B7.3
 
realized                                                                                      B9.3