Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229632          12          42          38           8           0        B7.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000894766           5          44          42           9           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   1.56848e-07          10          59          26           5           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =            15          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            11.50       51.75       30.75        6.00        0.00     B6.6
 
realized                                                                                      B7.7