Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229506          12          40          40           8           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000889150           5          46          41           8           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   1.70592e-07          11          50          33           6           0        B7.9
est. ISN   =            33           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                             8.75       46.00       36.50        8.75        0.00     B8.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1