Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229947          12          39          40           9           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000901673           4          47          39          10           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   1.99866e-07           3          46          46           5           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             6.25       44.00       42.00        7.50        0.25     B9.9
 
realized                                                                                      B8.6