Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231227           9          39          42          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000926775           4          46          44           6           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   2.89760e-07           2          22          68           8           0        C1.7
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             4.50       31.50       55.25        8.00        0.75     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3