Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232426           5          41          45           9           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000946125           1          35          52          12           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   4.57535e-07           2           1          79          17           1        C4.1
est. ISN   =            48           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             3.00       24.50       59.75       11.75        1.00     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7