Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232671           4          42          45           9           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000948858           1          35          50          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   4.28030e-07           1           1          79          17           2        C3.1
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             2.25       25.50       59.00       12.00        1.25     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7