Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232326           5          41          46           8           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000944425           1          35          53          11           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   3.67395e-07           1           5          79          15           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             2.25       24.00       61.75       11.75        0.25     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0