Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232077           7          42          45           6           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000941862           1          36          53          10           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   3.52794e-07           3           4          77          16           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             3.50       25.25       60.50       10.00        0.75     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0