Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232551           5          42          45           8           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000951722           1          34          51          13           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   3.86616e-07           1           4          78          17           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             2.25       23.75       60.75       12.75        0.50     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6