Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233591           3          44          40          13           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000970757           2          28          51          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   4.82908e-07           2           1          70          26           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =            48           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             2.75       23.50       56.00       16.00        1.75     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9