Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231671           7          40          44           9           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000934216           4          40          47           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.32999e-07           4           8          73          15           0        C2.2
est. ISN   =            42           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             5.00       31.00       54.00        9.50        0.50     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5