Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230313          10          41          38          11           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000908908           5          52          35           8           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   2.57965e-07           1          31          60           8           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             5.75       43.00       42.75        8.50        0.00     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      B7.8