Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232472           5          41          45           9           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000947037           1          34          51          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   4.77205e-07           3           1          71          24           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             4.00       32.50       49.75       13.25        0.50     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3