Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232304           5          42          46           7           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000945538           1          34          53          12           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   4.60798e-07           2           1          77          19           1        C4.5
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             3.75       32.75       52.00       11.25        0.25     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C8.1