Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231285           9          39          42          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000933464           3          41          47           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.15996e-07           3          11          74          12           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             5.50       34.75       50.25        9.50        0.00     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4