Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231435           9          35          45          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000937150           4          39          48           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.40527e-07           3           5          75          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =            33           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                             5.75       31.75       50.00       12.50        0.00     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3