Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233367           3          48          37          12           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000967469           2          30          51          15           2        C2.0
GOES Xray  =   4.94000e-07           3           1          61          34           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             2.75       24.50       54.00       17.25        1.50     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C4.1