Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235904           4          33          51          11           1        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101576           1          17          58          22           2        C2.4
GOES Xray  =   7.11063e-07           1           0          57          34           8        C8.4
est. ISN   =            78           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.75       13.75       57.75       22.75        4.00     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      M4.0