Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237920           5          26          55          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104556           3          17          58          18           4        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.06431e-06           1           0          28          57          14        M1.7
est. ISN   =            82           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             2.75       11.00       49.75       30.00        6.50     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      M2.2