Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240171           2          14          63          20           1        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108323           3          13          64          18           2        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   1.13124e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.50        7.75       53.00       32.25        5.50     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      M9.6