Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236722           1          31          58           8           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104430           2          17          56          21           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   7.27270e-07           1           0          54          36           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =            63           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.25       15.00       56.00       22.50        4.25     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C6.4