Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237563           3          26          59          10           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105284           3          14          58          20           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   7.78211e-07           1           0          52          40           7        C9.0
est. ISN   =            43           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.50       18.75       56.00       18.75        4.00     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7