Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234439           4          47          36          12           1        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100900           1          17          54          25           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   4.81965e-07           2           1          70          26           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =            45           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             2.75       22.50       55.25       17.50        2.00     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9