Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233110           4          48          37          11           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000981130           3          21          52          21           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   3.91452e-07           1           3          75          20           1        C3.3
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             3.50       31.50       48.50       15.50        1.00     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1