Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232202           6          42          46           6           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000956234           2          34          51          12           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   3.27314e-07           4           9          73          14           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             5.00       34.75       51.00        9.00        0.25     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7