Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231455           9          36          44          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000941658           1          37          52          10           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   2.57206e-07           1          31          60           8           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            10.00       38.75       43.50        7.75        0.00     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9