Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231299           9          39          42          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000938358           2          39          50           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.57809e-07           1          31          60           8           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            15.75       37.25       40.25        6.75        0.00     B8.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6