Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230591          11          42          36          11           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000923263           6          48          39           7           0        B9.3
GOES Xray  =   3.15555e-07           3          11          74          12           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             7.00       38.75       45.75        8.50        0.00     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3