Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236496           2          30          58           8           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100220           1          17          56          24           2        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   1.24450e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            26           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                             2.75       25.00       43.25       24.25        4.75     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9