Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239179           3          16          57          22           2        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104502           2          17          58          19           4        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.33129e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             2.50       19.75       44.50       28.00        5.25     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0