Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241247           3          13          67          15           2        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108173           3          12          65          18           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.29218e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             2.75       12.00       54.75       25.25        5.25     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      X1.1