Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237990           5          25          56          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104295           2          17          56          21           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   9.57065e-07           1           0          41          48          10        M1.1
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.25       14.75       54.00       24.75        4.25     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M3.7