Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240972           3          13          67          15           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107768           2          12          66          17           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.38485e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.00       11.00       55.00       26.75        5.25     C4.4
 
realized                                                                                      X2.2