Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236445           3          28          58           9           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103975           3          19          54          19           5        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.77946e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.5
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.75       12.75       57.25       24.00        4.25     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7