Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237721           4          26          57          11           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106350           2          14          63          18           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   7.75960e-07           1           0          51          41           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =            65           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.50       12.50       58.75       22.75        3.50     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2