Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238897           5          17          57          18           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109061           2          14          64          15           5        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   7.73863e-07           1           0          51          41           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =            80           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             2.00        8.50       59.50       25.25        4.75     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C7.6