Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237115           1          28          57          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106366           2          14          63          18           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   6.73352e-07           1           0          59          34           6        C8.2
est. ISN   =            79           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.00       11.75       61.00       22.50        3.75     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C6.7