Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236120           4          31          54          10           1        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104629           3          16          59          18           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.13450e-07           1           0          64          32           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.50       15.50       59.75       19.75        2.50     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2